Omenly

Prediction Market Intelligence

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Alert Feed

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Future Feed

Synthesized from unusual market activity
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Signals appear after 2+ scan cycles detect unusual non-sports activity.

Verified Predictions

Track record of confirmed signals

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Use the ✓ Verify button on Future Feed cards to log correct or incorrect predictions.

Alert Counters

Alerts (24h)

High

Medium

New Accounts

Alert Feed

Real-time market anomaly detection

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Results appear after the first scan completes.

Muted: — card removed. Edit in Settings → Trained Topics.
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Sports Alerts

Unusual activity in sports markets — excluded from predictions

No sports alerts detected yet.

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Settings

Settings saved. They will take effect on the next scan.

Platform Monitoring

Detection Thresholds

×

Alert when 24hr volume exceeds this multiple of the rolling average. Lower = more sensitive.

pp

Alert when probability shifts by this many percentage points in one scan cycle.

$

Alert on individual trades above this USD amount.

$

Ignore volume spikes on markets whose average volume is below this. Prevents noise from micro-markets.

trades

Flag accounts with this many or fewer prior trades as "new/suspicious".

Signal Quality Filters

– %

Only alert on markets currently priced within this range. Markets outside this band are usually near-resolved and produce noise.

Filter out markets resolving sooner than this. End-of-period convergence dominates short-dated markets and creates false positives.

When on, only alert when price moves against the expected drift toward resolution. Filters out boring convergence-to-truth movement.

pp

How many percentage points the price must move against expected drift to count as a surprise.

Look back this far to confirm the market was previously contested. Catches the "market was uncertain, then suddenly wasn't" pattern.

When on, only alert on markets that were inside the contested range at some point within the baseline window.

signals

Require at least this many independent signals (volume spike, price move, large trade, new account, surprise direction, account cluster) before alerting. Conjunction is the strongest filter against noise.

h

Look for multiple new/suspicious accounts trading the same side within this window. Coordinated activity is a strong insider tell. (Currently scoped to within-scan; cross-scan aggregation is a future upgrade.)

accounts

Number of new/suspicious accounts trading the same direction required to flag a cluster.

When on, suppress alerts on markets where a major news event broke recently. (No news feed wired up yet — toggle is reserved for a future release.)

h

How long after a news event to suppress alerts on related markets.

/ 100

Composite score combining all signals. Higher = more selective. The exact breakdown shows on each alert.

Scan Settings

min
5 min 30 min 1 hr 2 hr
h
12h 2 days 4 days 1 week

How far back the Future Feed looks for correlated signals.

Alert Channels

Credentials are managed via environment variables / secrets (set them in Render → Environment).

Discord Webhook
Email (Resend)

Trained Topics

Keywords Omenly uses to filter and rank alerts. Click a keyword to edit it, press Enter to save. Click × to delete.

Muted

Alerts containing these words are hidden everywhere.

No muted topics yet.

Boosted

Alerts containing these words are elevated in the Future Feed.

No boosted topics yet.

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